41 E Winnie Way
Arcadia, CA 91006
- Beds: 3
- Baths: 1.75
- Sq. Ft.: 1,557
- Lot Size: 8,100 Sq. Ft.
This is a fairly decent starter home built in 1956. While it lacks the charm or extravagance of newer properties, you get adequate living area, privacy and some upgraded features. Unfortunately, the $850,000 price tag puts this home way beyond the classification of “entry” or “starter”.
First, the seller. They bought in 2003 for $430,000 and put a sizable 42% down payment. Regardless of where the money came from, it was very prudent borrowing. Assuming a 30-year mortgage, their monthly payment should be around $1,500/month. More or less depending on the interest rate.
A $1,500 mortgage on a this property is very reasonable due to the $180,000 down payment. BUT take that $180k and apply it to the current listing price and we have a mortgage of $4,297 per month; not including taxes, insurance, ect. Would you spend $4,300+ a month to own this home?
Given that a property like this will go for $300/sf or less in the near future, the following valuations are still too high:
After 5 years of ownership.
3% $498,488 ($320/sf)
4% $523,161 ($336/sf)
5% $548,801 ($352/sf)
6% $575,437 ($370/sf)
7% $603,097 ($387/sf)
$300/sf = $467,100
Current asking price: $850,000 WTF
If I was the seller, I would start slashing the listing price ASAP because once the Summer season is over, we’re looking at a even bleaker housing market the coming Fall and Winter.
4 thoughts on “No Poo for Winnie – 100% Return after 5 years?”
At the minimum, the 2003 roll back is expected near the bottom of this cycle. That means $430k for this starter home.
If the cycle goes back to 2001 or 2002, the current owner will be under water as well.
3 Beds & 1.75 Baths $850,000 … let me think. No
That house has no curb appeal either, in fact it’s an eyesore.
and how about that back yard?
This is an insult. 1500sf for $850k?
If a broker took me to see this house I would find another broker that same day.
WTF are they thinking? Additionally this home would never appraise at that price nor would a bank lend at anywhere near that value.
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